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Demographics of inceldom: Difference between revisions
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The combination of strict [[marriage]] norms and [[female subordination]] may keep the incidence of male incels fairly low despite skewed sex ratio, though likely with substantial regional variation. On the other hand, the relatively low sexual activity despite high marriage rates may point to both men and women having less sex than they would prefer to have. | The combination of strict [[marriage]] norms and [[female subordination]] may keep the incidence of male incels fairly low despite skewed sex ratio, though likely with substantial regional variation. On the other hand, the relatively low sexual activity despite high marriage rates may point to both men and women having less sex than they would prefer to have. | ||
===Israel=== | ===Israel=== | ||
With 3.01 births per woman, Israel has ''by far'' the highest birth rate among the OECD countries | With 3.01 births per woman, Israel has ''by far'' the highest birth rate among the OECD countries.<ref name="oecdfertility">https://data.oecd.org/pop/fertility-rates.htm</ref> | ||
However, this high birth rate disproportionally stems from | Israel also has the highest total fertility rate among the countries with a human development index (HDI) of .8 or above, indicating a "very high" level of development, and is a practical outlier in terms of fertility among the states with the very highest levels of development (>.9).<ref>http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/latest-human-development-index-ranking</ref> | ||
This high fertility may point to a relatively low incel rate, as further evidenced by the relatively low search term popularity mentioned above. | |||
However, this high birth rate disproportionally stems from ultra-orthodox communities (Haredi) and other sects of religious jews.<ref>https://www.cbs.gov.il/en/publications/Pages/pw/Fertility-among-Jewish-Women-in-Israel-by-Level-of-Religiosity-1979-2014.aspx</ref><ref>https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-haredim-are-leaving-the-fold-but-the-community-is-growing-1.8121764</ref> | |||
In | The birth rate in secular families, while above replacement level at 2.2 children per woman, is only about one-third of the ultra-Orthodox (6.5, as of the latest figures),<ref>https://www.timesofisrael.com/haredi-population-growing-twice-as-fast-as-total-israeli-population-report/</ref> and not far away from other OECD countries like France (1.8) and the U.S. (1.71). | ||
This lower fertility may suggest incel-related issues may be more common among the non-Haredi, and particularly among secular Jews/ (43% of Jews aged over 20 in Israel as of 2020)<ref>https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/latest-population-statistics-for-israel</ref> | |||
Despite having a high marriage rate among older cohorts (92% of the pop aged 40-44 report having been married),<ref name="jpost">https://www.jpost.com/israel/cbs-report-44-percent-of-tel-aviv-women-ages-30-34-are-single</ref> | |||
surveys conducted by the CBS (Israel Central Bureau of Statistics) show that despite the relatively high birth and marriage rates, there is an increasing trend of Israeli singles, deferred marriage, and lower marriage rates, mirroring trends found in other developed countries.<ref>https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/age-at-marriage-women?country=GBR~USA~NOR~SWE~PRT~SAU~TUR~ZWE~BGD~NER~IRN~ISR</ref> | |||
<ref>https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6241021/</ref> | |||
Examining the potential causes of declining marriage rates in Israel, Schellekens & Gliksberg (2018) found no evidence of this being driven by increases in female education post 1990, as has been proposed in other countries. Rather, they discovered the recent decline in marriage rates was a cohort effect (affecting only younger generations), being driven by increased rates of cohabitation as opposed to marriage and perhaps by economic pressure decreasing the odds of marriage and family formation among young men in particular.<ref>https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6241021/</ref> | |||
In order to infer the number of involuntary celibates in Israel's population and any shifts in this regard, is likely most informative to examine the trend of singlisation in the population. | |||
Between 1990 and 2009, the number of citizens living by themselves doubled, with slightly more men living on their own in younger age groups.<ref name="jpost"></ref> | |||
In Israel, about 65% of men between the ages of 25 and 29 were single in 2012, compared to 28% in 1970, while the percentage of single women between the ages of 25 and 29 has increased from 13% to 46%.<ref>https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4263374,00.html</ref> | |||
This singlehood gap is perhaps reflective of a weak trend of polygynous partnerships among that age cohort and women's general tendency to partner with men older than themselves. | |||
===Italy=== | ===Italy=== | ||
{{see_also|[[Italian incelosphere]]}} | {{see_also|[[Italian incelosphere]]}} | ||