Demographics of inceldom: Difference between revisions

*Sex is regarded as the most satisfying and joyous experience and ~70% of men report "sex is essential to feeling good about oneself".<ref name="ref25">https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Sex_is_the_most_pleasurable.2C_joyous.2C_and_meaningful_human_experience</ref>

*Such reports are likely subject to [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_desirability_bias social desirability bias], meaning men might not say they need sex to avoid violating [[sexual modesty]] norms and being perceived as shallow and sex-driven.

Assuming some social desirability bias, one can assume only very few of the sexless are [[volcel|volcels]], so there were likely '''around 15% to 30% millennial male incels''' in 2018,<ref>This figure was computed by arbitrarily subtracting a volcel rate among the sexless of ~25% for the lower bound and ~15% for the upper bound of the 2018 confidence interval and then rounding to the next multiple of 5 to get nice figures.<br />Limitations: For one, singles who reported to prefer their singlehood in Poortman & Liebroer could be having casual sex otherwise.

This agrees with other findings of a rise of sexual inequality. The most sexually active men have more sex than ever,<ref name="moresex">https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#The_top_5-20.25_of_men_.28ie._.22Chads.22.29_are_now_having_more_sex_than_ever_before</ref><ref name="tinder1">https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Women_get_2-3_times_as_many_casual_sexual_relationships_from_Tinder_than_men</ref> which may indicate a slight rise in open relationships, men engaging in 'casual sex' with a quick succession of sex partners, possibly facilitated by online dating,<ref name="ref33">https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Women_get_2-3_times_as_many_casual_sexual_relationships_from_Tinder_than_men</ref> [[serial monogamy]] and other forms of ''de facto [[polygamy]]'', accompanied by a rise in acceptance of polygamy.<ref>https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/214601/moral-acceptance-polygamy-record-high-why.aspx</ref>

Young people generally have less sex and men even slightly less. Also, a minority has more sex at the same time, without causing an overall increase though. But the largest changes are less stable relationships and later marriage for both sexes rather than alpha males hoarding all women. Still, a small minority of young people is having plenty of sex and seems to increasingly engage in polygynous mating styles among them.<ref name="moresex"></ref><ref name="tinder1"></ref> With humans being a moderately polygamous species, the tendency that men are more likely sexless can be observed across the world as summarized below and also in terms of [[reproductive success]],<ref>Brown, G.R., Laland, K.N. and Mulder, M.B. 2009. ''Bateman's principles and human sex roles.'' [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169534709001128 FullText]]</ref> and is likely a result of women's higher [[Bateman's principle|parental investment]].

In data from Finland (see the [[#Finland|Finland section]]), women have become twice as likely to not have been in love with their first sex partner (from 82% down to nearly 39%) over the course of over 80 years, whereas men's answers remained unchanged around 50%.<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qeYts4AzRUo</ref> This may reflect that young women more often are promiscuous like men, and just engage in sex for near-term gratification.  But a number of other explanations are conceivable, e.g. that women's love may require a [[orgasms for resources|resource dependence]]. A change in promiscuous behavior, however, is also evidenced by later-born women also more readily say they'd be willing to have sex without being in love (up from 20% to around 80%), also in the Finnish data.

[[File:AgeAtFirstMarriage.png|thumb|400px|Boomers were an exception, but marriage is now particularly late for women. The narrowing age gap may be caused by a [[virtue signaling|moral panic]].]]

[[File:World_map_of_Age_at_First_Marriage.png|thumb|Regions with fast-life strategists such as Africa tend to have earlier marriages, on average.]]

The prevalence of inceldom can possibly estimated by the popularity of the search term "incel" on Google.<ref>https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=incel</ref> In the time period from 5/19/20 to 5/19/21, the following popularity values were found. Note that Google produced trend outputs as a fraction of the popularity in the country where the search term is the most popular:

The key findings in regards to the prevalence of the incel problem in the country are:

*More men than women reported sexual experience in all age brackets but the youngest (aged 18-19). However, as the sample size for the youngest age bracket was small, it is unknown if this difference is statistically significant. Among men in their 20s, around 25% were virgins (compared to around 35% of women in this age bracket). Virginity rates steadily decreased with age among men, with around 4% of men in their 30s still reporting a lack of sexual experience, compared to around 13% of women in their 30s.

*Among men of low education levels (high school education or less) or in the lowest income bracket (900 USD or less a month), the aforementioned sex difference in sexual experience was reversed, with more women in these education and income brackets reporting prior sexual experience.

*The biggest sex gap found (in terms of being currently sexually active) was in the 20-29 age bracket, with 58.8% of these men reporting sexual activity in the last 12 months compared to 78.6% of the women of this age.

*Women of all age brackets reported substantially less engagement in casual sexual activities than men. This sex discrepancy in reporting engagement in promiscuous sexual activity is likely due to a mix of factors.<br />Firstly, in a society with highly conservative attitudes to extra-martial sexual behaviors engaged in by women, such as South Korea, women are very likely to downplay their engagement in casual sexual activity, even in anonymous surveys.<br />Secondly, many men may be [[pump and dump|leading women on by promising investment]] while they, but not the women in question, consider the relationship to be casual in nature ('friends with benefits'). <br />Thirdly, although prostitution is illegal in South Korea, the country apparently has a large sex trade, with 20 percent of men aged between 20-64 reportedly visiting prostitutes up to 4.5 times a month on average.<ref>https://theseoultimes.com/ST/?url=/ST/db/read.php?idx=260</ref> It is estimated that sex work contributes a greater portion of the GDP in South Korea than the agricultural sector (ibid). In light of the above information, it is likely that a lot of the casual sexual encounters reported by men in this survey were with prostitutes.

In a survey by YouGov from 2019, around 18% of men said they had no close friends. Only 12% of women said the same.<ref>https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21041784</ref><ref>https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7488709/One-five-men-no-friends-loneliness-epidemic-leaves-thousands-living-isolation.html</ref>

One can broadly distinguish different demographic groups that experience mating difficulties or voluntarily abstain from sex:

==References==