Trusted, Automoderated users
17,538
edits
COVID-19: Difference between revisions
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
→Fatality rate
No edit summary |
|||
| Line 41: | Line 41: | ||
=== Fatality rate === | === Fatality rate === | ||
[[File:EUoN3NhWsAAkx4M.png_large.png|thumb|right|300px]] | [[File:EUoN3NhWsAAkx4M.png_large.png|thumb|right|300px]] | ||
Another insightful infected fatality rate (IFR) comes from the [[boomer]] cruise ship Diamond Princess. | |||
Out of 3,711 passengers with an average age of 60, about 20% (712) tested positive. Only 25% of the positive cases had symptoms of a pneumonia and 1.97% (14) died.<ref name="basedthread">https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fno919/nonsevere_vs_severe_symptomatic_covid19_104_cases/</ref> | Out of 3,711 passengers with an average age of 60, about 20% (712) tested positive. Only 25% of the positive cases had symptoms of a pneumonia and 1.97% (14) died.<ref name="basedthread">https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fno919/nonsevere_vs_severe_symptomatic_covid19_104_cases/</ref> | ||
This suggests, without an overwhelmed health system, the IFR for the overall population may be between 0.025%<ref>https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/</ref> to 0.5%.<ref name="basedsite">https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/</ref> | This suggests, without an overwhelmed health system, the IFR for the overall population may be between 0.025%<ref>https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/</ref> to 0.5%.<ref name="basedsite">https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/</ref> | ||
| Line 58: | Line 59: | ||
There have also been sensational reports of fatalities among infected health workers, however these cases are rare (CFR 0.3%),<ref>https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/</ref> and primarily affect elderly health workers, with e.g. a median age of 69 and youngest age 50 in Italy among physicians.<ref>https://portale.fnomceo.it/elenco-dei-medici-caduti-nel-corso-dellepidemia-di-covid-19/</ref> | There have also been sensational reports of fatalities among infected health workers, however these cases are rare (CFR 0.3%),<ref>https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/</ref> and primarily affect elderly health workers, with e.g. a median age of 69 and youngest age 50 in Italy among physicians.<ref>https://portale.fnomceo.it/elenco-dei-medici-caduti-nel-corso-dellepidemia-di-covid-19/</ref> | ||
A more recent meta study concluded that the IFR is very low for people younger than 55 (less than 0.2%).<ref>https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1</ref> | |||
A study from France showed that the in-hospital mortality is only higher than the common flu for the elderly.<ref>https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30527-0/fulltext</ref> | |||
Relatively high hospitalization rates among young adults (especially in the second wave) are likely due to the elderly being now better protected than the young.<ref>https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7875012/</ref> | |||
=== Infecting everyone instead of lockdown === | === Infecting everyone instead of lockdown === | ||