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→Fatality rate
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Some of the best data sources for the infected fatality rate (IFR) comes from the [[boomer]] cruise ship Diamond Princess. | Some of the best data sources for the infected fatality rate (IFR) comes from the [[boomer]] cruise ship Diamond Princess. | ||
Out of 3,711 passengers with an average age of 60, about 20% (712) tested positive. Only 25% of the positive cases had symptoms of a pneumonia and 1. | Out of 3,711 passengers with an average age of 60, about 20% (712) tested positive. Only 25% of the positive cases had symptoms of a pneumonia and 1.97% (14) died.<ref name="basedthread">https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fno919/nonsevere_vs_severe_symptomatic_covid19_104_cases/</ref> | ||
This suggests, without an overwhelmed health system, the IFR for the overall population may be between 0.025%<ref>https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/</ref> to 0.5%.<ref name="basedsite">https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/</ref> | This suggests, without an overwhelmed health system, the IFR for the overall population may be between 0.025%<ref>https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/</ref> to 0.5%.<ref name="basedsite">https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/</ref> | ||
Antibody testing in a German city found an IFR of 0.37%.<ref>https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fxp6ux/heinsberg_covid19_caseclusterstudy_initial_results/</ref> But the overall IFR will vary based on the prevalence of old and fat people,<ref>https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v1</ref><ref>https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/oby.22831</ref> as obesity is the second most common risk factor after age.<ref>https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-obesity-top-factor-after-age-driving-nyc-hospitalization-2020-4</ref> | Antibody testing in a German city found an IFR of 0.37%.<ref>https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fxp6ux/heinsberg_covid19_caseclusterstudy_initial_results/</ref> But the overall IFR will vary based on the prevalence of old and fat people,<ref>https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v1</ref><ref>https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/oby.22831</ref> as obesity is the second most common risk factor after age.<ref>https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-obesity-top-factor-after-age-driving-nyc-hospitalization-2020-4</ref> | ||