Demographics of inceldom: Difference between revisions

This article discusses the '''demographics of [[inceldom]]'''. It sheds light on the prevalence and rising trends of [[inceldom]], and more broadly, of sexual frustration, unstable relationships and loneliness for both sexes, which is accompanied by a trend towards later or no marriage, i.e. a decline in [[marriage]] traditions.

Incels appear to have diverse backgrounds regarding socioeconomic status and education [[dominance status|status]]. A survey from [[incels.co]] reports 59% middle class, 34% lower class, and 7% upper class.<ref name="oct">https://incels.co/threads/survey-results-for-october-2019.147774/</ref>

Further, 50% had a high school degree (or are in high school), 39% college and 11% graduate school.<ref name="oct"></ref> Incels.co is, however, not necessarily representative of incels overall. [[#Germany|Data from Germany]] suggest that university students are more often adult virgins compared to others of similar age, and further supports the notion that incels have diverse socioeconomic backgrounds. The hard university courses seem to be affected more by inceldom (see [[IQ#IQ_and_sexual_success|IQ and sexual success]]).

Incels can in in principle be found in any country as evidenced by the [[#Other_countries|country statistics]] below. [[#China|China]] and [[#India|India]] may have the largest shares of male incels as both of these countries have a surplus of young males.

In the most popular incel communities such as [[incels.co]], 50% of the users come from the U.S., 38% from Europe and the other 22% are made up by users from Central/South America, Oceana and Asia.<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Incel_forums_are_disproportionately_populated_by_suicidal.2C_disabled.2C_autistic.2C_and_ethnic_men</ref>

{{see_also|[[Racepill]], [[Currycel]], [[Ricecel]], [[Redcel]], [[Arabcel]], [[Black Incelosphere]], [[Scientific Blackpill#tocRace|Scientific Blackpill § Race]], [[Scientific Blackpill#Incel_forums_are_disproportionately_populated_by_suicidal.2C_disabled.2C_autistic.2C_and_ethnic_men|Scientific Blackpill § Incel forums]]}}

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File:Percent of us 12th graders who have ever dated.png|[https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#The_percent_of_high_school_students_who_date_is_plummeting Source]

File:Graph-birth-rates-2017.png|[https://www.hhs.gov/ash/oah/adolescent-development/reproductive-health-and-teen-pregnancy/teen-pregnancy-and-childbearing/trends/index.html Source]

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Teenage sexual activity in the U.S. has declined a lot in the past decades such that the majority of high school graduates has possibly never dated by {{CURRENTYEAR}} and youngcel rates have ''tripled'' since 1980.<ref name="plummet">https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#The_percent_of_high_school_students_who_date_is_plummeting</ref> This decline is accompanied by a decline in employment, driver's license ownership and alcohol consumption.<ref name="plummet"></ref>

[[File:X1VI6qG.jpg|400px|thumb|Virginity of both sexes by age (2006-2008) based on [https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhsr/nhsr036.pdf NSFG data (pdf)] in the table below (each age group has an N of ~10,000). The drop for males at 35 may be [[betabuxx]] or men seeing prostitutes.

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The 95% confidence interval for men who did not have sex in the past year aged 18-30 is 20%-34% (N = 137). Combining data from 2016 and 2018, one finds an estimate of 24% (N = 311, 95% CI: 19%, 29%). Most sexless males are likely incels as evidenced by:

Assuming strong social desirability bias, one can assume only very few of the sexless are [[volcel|volcels]], so there were likely '''around 15% to 30% millennial male incels''' in 2018,<ref>This figure was computed by arbitrarily subtracting a volcel rate among the sexless of ~25% for the lower bound and ~15% for the upper bound of the 2018 confidence interval and then rounding to the next multiple of 5 to get nice figures.<br />Limitations: For one, singles who reported to prefer their singlehood in Poortman & Liebroer could be having casual sex otherwise.

possibly more as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}, though around a third of this is 18-20 year olds. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to 8-17 million male millennial incels, and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship, pointing to a substantial amount of sexually frustrated males.

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According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics, sexlessness has increased among the young between 2002 and 2006/2008. 27% of 15-24 year old men have never had any form of sex, up from 22 percent in 2002, and 29% of females in that age bracket have never had sex, also up from 22 percent in 2002.<ref>https://www.livescience.com/13072-sex-stats-virgins-rise.html</ref><ref>https://time.com/4435058/millennials-virgins-sex/</ref>

===Sexual frustration is a majoritarian issue===

With increasing sexlessness and steady partnerships almost cut in half for those between 18-35, one can see that inceldom issues are approaching a majoritarian issue.  With 51% of young adults without a partner could indicate that the amount of people sympathetic to incels due to their own situation may now be a majority of young adults.

{{see_also|[[Adverse effects of inceldom]]}}

Men also slightly more often report having sex is essential to feeling good about oneself (d ≈ 0.25).<ref name="ref25"></ref>

These results ''strongly'' imply women are the ''gatekeepers'' of sex<ref>https://assets.csom.umn.edu/assets/71503.pdf</ref> and hence decide over celibacy rates.

[[File:Average_Number_of_Lifetime_Sex_Partners_(IFS).jpg|thumb|400px|right|Number of sex partners over time, by decade of birth, sex and education, U.S. ([https://ifstudies.org/blog/nine-decades-of-promiscuity source)]]]

{{main_article|[[Slut]]}}

==Other countries==

The Hunter Research Foundation Centre ran a sex life survey in October 2012 to November 2013, with over 20,000 men and women participating. It found fairly balanced adult virginity rates for people in their 20s. But above 30, there were around twice as many male adult virgins (3.5% vs 1.5%).<ref>https://www.lifehacker.com.au/2019/02/heres-how-much-sex-everybody-is-having/</ref><ref>http://www.hrf.com.au/uploads/Sex_in_Australia_Summary_Findings_Nov2014.pdf</ref>

Another survey found the highest number of adult virgins over the age of 31 (male and female combined) was in Melbourne with almost 4% virgins.<ref>https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/lifestyle/health/body-soul-daily/sex-lives-of-australians-revealed-in-national-bodysoul-survey/news-story/1295bc6b2f76cbc9d4200e97d2ebc756</ref>

China (as well as India) have some of the largest surplus of males and hence a huge number of male incels which is thought to even aggravate in the coming decades and is thought to become a substantial threat to social stability.<ref>https://www.scmp.com/magazines/post-magazine/long-reads/article/2142658/too-many-men-china-and-india-battle-consequences</ref> There are now an excess of 70 million males in China and India.<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#There_are_now_70_million_excess_men_in_China_and_India_who_will_live_and_die_without_partners</ref> The Washington Post produced an article with impressive visualizations of the problem.<ref>https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2018/world/too-many-men/</ref>

According to Project SEXUS 2017/2018, among 25-34 year olds, 5% of men compared to 3% of women, never had sex since they were 15 (N = 3495, p = 0.0025), however for older groups there were no sex differences.<ref>https://files.projektsexus.dk/2019-10-26_SEXUS-rapport_2017-2018.pdf</ref>

[[File:1542099410982.jpg|thumb|right|200px|[[Scientific Blackpill#A_survey_found_a_dramatically_higher_median_sex_partner_count_for_young_women_than_young_men|More information]]]]

In Finland, rates of sexlessness and masturbation have substantially increased in recent years, affecting especially men aged 30-40.<ref>https://www.helsinkitimes.fi/finland/finland-news/domestic/14163-nationwide-sex-survey-finds-increase-in-masturbation-decrease-in-sex.html</ref> Further, the number of young men having more than two sex partners decreased for men, but remained stable for women (see the figure on the right).

For more figures and discussion of the study, see the scientific blackpill<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#A_survey_found_a_dramatically_higher_median_sex_partner_count_for_young_women_than_young_men</ref> and this forum thread.<ref>https://www.reddit.com/r/PurplePillDebate/comments/a4pxdd/interesting_finnish_recurring_surveybased_study/</ref>

Sexlessness is on the rise in France as well. For men under thirty, a decrease in the mean sex partners was seen from 10.4 in 1992 and 7.7 in 2006 (p < 0.00001), but for women in the same age group there was no change.<ref name="france">https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9691333152456161933&hl=en&as_sdt=0,5</ref>

Men in India have the least sex of all countries.<ref>https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/india/10283499/No-sex-please-were-Indian-survey-finds-men-in-the-sub-continent-have-fewest-partners.html</ref>

Japan has among the highest rates of incels and has had them for quite a while. As of 2019, 10% of 30 year olds have no sexual experience. 24.6% of 18-39 year old women have no heterosexual experience, up from 21.7% in 1992. For men it increased from 20% to 25.8%. Sex differences are remarkably small.<ref>https://www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/focus/en/press/z0508_00035.html</ref>

In 2016, a government survey found evidence of 541,000 [[hikikomori]] living in a country of 127 million people.<ref>https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/02/the-world-of-american-hikikomori.html</ref>

==See Also==

==References==