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Demographics of inceldom: Difference between revisions
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→Rise in sexlessness and singledom
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==Adult inceldom in the U.S.== | ==Adult inceldom in the U.S.== | ||
===Rise in sexlessness and singledom=== | ===Rise in male sexlessness and singledom=== | ||
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Sexless men between 18 and 30 are on the rise according to the ''Washington Post'' using data from the U.S. nationally representative ''General Social Survey (GSS)''.<ref>https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/03/29/share-americans-not-having-sex-has-reached-record-high/</ref> | Sexless men between 18 and 30 are on the rise according to the ''Washington Post'' using data from the U.S. nationally representative ''General Social Survey (GSS)''.<ref>https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/03/29/share-americans-not-having-sex-has-reached-record-high/</ref> | ||
28% of men did not have sex in the past year. | 28% of men did not have sex in the past year. | ||
This is accompanied by a trend towards later marriage.<ref>https://ifstudies.org/blog/male-sexlessness-is-rising-but-not-for-the-reasons-incels-claim</ref> | |||
GSS data also shows that among today's 18 to 34 year olds, 51% have no stable partner, up from 35% in 1986.<ref>https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2019/03/21/its-not-just-you-new-data-shows-more-than-half-young-people-america-dont-have-romantic-partner</ref> | GSS data also shows that among today's 18 to 34 year olds, 51% have no stable partner, up from 35% in 1986.<ref>https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2019/03/21/its-not-just-you-new-data-shows-more-than-half-young-people-america-dont-have-romantic-partner</ref> | ||
Further, roughly [[Scientific_Blackpill#30.25_of_millennials_are_often_or_always_lonely_and_22.25_have_no_friends|30% of millennials are often or always lonely and 22% have no friends]] which likely overlaps inceldom because a sex partner would count as companionship or a friend. | Further, roughly [[Scientific_Blackpill#30.25_of_millennials_are_often_or_always_lonely_and_22.25_have_no_friends|30% of millennials are often or always lonely and 22% have no friends]] which likely overlaps inceldom because a sex partner would count as companionship or a friend. | ||
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* Such reports are likely subject to [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_desirability_bias social desirability bias], meaning men might not say they need sex to avoid being perceived as shallow and sex-driven. | * Such reports are likely subject to [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_desirability_bias social desirability bias], meaning men might not say they need sex to avoid being perceived as shallow and sex-driven. | ||
Assuming strong social desirability bias, one can assume only very few of the sexless are [[volcel|volcels]], so '''around 15% to 30% millennial male incels''' in 2018,<ref>This figure was computed by arbitrarily subtracting a volcel rate among the sexless of ~25% for the lower bound and ~15% for the upper bound and then rounding to the next multiple of 5 to get nice figures. These figures have various limitations though. For one, singles who reported to prefer their singlehood in Poortman & Liebroer could be having casual sex otherwise. | Assuming strong social desirability bias, one can assume only very few of the sexless are [[volcel|volcels]], so there were likely '''around 15% to 30% millennial male incels''' in 2018,<ref>This figure was computed by arbitrarily subtracting a volcel rate among the sexless of ~25% for the lower bound and ~15% for the upper bound of the 2018 confidence interval and then rounding to the next multiple of 5 to get nice figures. These figures have various limitations though. For one, singles who reported to prefer their singlehood in Poortman & Liebroer could be having casual sex otherwise. | ||
Also, men who see prostitutes have sex, but may still count as [[incel#definition|incels]]. Conversely, men in long-distance relationships, religious men or very career-focused men might voluntarily forgo sex, hence might rather count as [[volcel|volcels]] or temporarycels. | Also, men who see prostitutes have sex, but may still count as [[incel#definition|incels]]. Conversely, men in long-distance relationships, religious men or very career-focused men might voluntarily forgo sex, hence might rather count as [[volcel|volcels]] or temporarycels. | ||
On the other hand, one could question whether systemic circumstances pressure men into these situations, which could then count as involuntary. Today, people might involuntarily marry much later as a consequence of cultural, economic and environmentalist pressures forcing them to do so. Indeed, career-focused singles tend to report they focus on their career because they are single rather than vice-versa (Source: https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783658059231)</ref> | On the other hand, one could question whether systemic circumstances pressure men into these situations, which could then count as involuntary. Today, people might involuntarily marry much later as a consequence of cultural, economic and environmentalist pressures forcing them to do so. Indeed, career-focused singles tend to report they focus on their career because they are single rather than vice-versa (Source: https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783658059231)</ref> | ||
possibly more as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to '''8-17 million male millennial incels''', and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship, pointing to a substantial amount of sexually frustrated males. | possibly more as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to '''8-17 million male millennial incels''', and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship, pointing to a substantial amount of sexually frustrated males. | ||
=== More sexless men than women === | === More sexless men than women === | ||