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Demographics of inceldom: Difference between revisions
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→More sexless men than women
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On the other hand, one could question whether systemic circumstances pressure men into these situations, which could then count as involuntary. Today, people might involuntarily marry much later as a consequence of cultural, economic and environmentalist pressures forcing them to do so. Indeed, career-focused singles tend to report they focus on their career because they are single rather than vice-versa (Source: https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783658059231)</ref> | On the other hand, one could question whether systemic circumstances pressure men into these situations, which could then count as involuntary. Today, people might involuntarily marry much later as a consequence of cultural, economic and environmentalist pressures forcing them to do so. Indeed, career-focused singles tend to report they focus on their career because they are single rather than vice-versa (Source: https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783658059231)</ref> | ||
possibly more as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to '''8-17 million male millennial incels''', and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship, pointing to a substantial amount of sexually frustrated males. | possibly more as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to '''8-17 million male millennial incels''', and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship, pointing to a substantial amount of sexually frustrated males. | ||
The rise in sexlessness is accompanied by a trend towards later marriage.<ref>https://ifstudies.org/blog/male-sexlessness-is-rising-but-not-for-the-reasons-incels-claim</ref> | |||
=== More sexless men than women === | === More sexless men than women === | ||
In the GSS | In the GSS data from 2018, more male than female millennials had no sex in the past year (28% vs 18%),<ref>https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1101592/the-great-sex-recession-celibate-americans-at-record-high</ref>, but the difference is not statistically significant. | ||
However, combining survey years 2016 and 2018 | However, combining survey years 2016 and 2018, one finds a significant difference for millennials (24% vs 17%, X² = 4.6, p = 0.03). Including year 2014, it becomes more significant (21% vs 15%, X² = 6.3, p = 0.01). | ||
What is worse, women are known to downplay their partner counts, so the number of sexless women is possibly in truth lower.<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Women.27s_reported_sex_partner_count_dramatically_increases_when_hooked_up_to_a_polygraph</ref> | What is worse, women are known to downplay their partner counts, so the number of sexless women is possibly in truth lower.<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Women.27s_reported_sex_partner_count_dramatically_increases_when_hooked_up_to_a_polygraph</ref> | ||
Including older populations, this difference vanishes somewhat as older men [[serial monogamy|remarry]] more often, leaving behind [[single mothers|single mothers]].<ref>https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783658059231</ref> | |||
The higher sexlessness among men aged 18-25 is likely mainly caused by women getting into relationships in their [[The Wall|prime years]], preferring men slightly older than themselves. | |||
But in smaller part it may also be caused by a rise of polygamy. The most sexually active men have more sex than ever,<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Women_get_2-3_times_as_many_casual_sexual_relationships_from_Tinder_than_men|become more unequally distributed</ref>, which may indicate a rise of open relationships, quick succession of sex partners perhaps enabled by online dating and other forms of ''de facto polygamy'', accompanied by a rise in acceptance of polygamy.<ref>https://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/214601/moral-acceptance-polygamy-record-high-why.aspx</ref> | |||
Regardless of the cause, this undeniably means men's sexual needs are less likely met in this age bracket. | |||
Sexlessness among young adults is not only higher for men, but sexlessness has also risen more quickly for men. Between 1990-2006 in GSS, only 13.4% of men aged 18-30 had no sex in the past year (N = 2013, 95% CI: 11.9%, 14.9%), but in 2012-2018 it was 20.8% (N = 682, 95% CI: 17.7%, 23.8%), which is a significant change (z = 4.6, p < .00001). For women it was 11.5% (2489, 95% CI: 10.3%, 12.8%) and 14.5% (742, 95% CI: 12.0%, 17.0%), which is also a significant change (z = 2.2, p < .03).<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Women_get_2-3_times_as_many_casual_sexual_relationships_from_Tinder_than_men</ref> Men experienced a larger decline (-7% vs -3%). | |||
Conclusion: Young people generally have less sex and men even less. Also few people have more sex at the same time, without resulting in a net increase though. But the largest changes are less stable relationships and later marriage for both sexes rather than alpha males hoarding all women. | Conclusion: Young people generally have less sex and men even less. Also few people have more sex at the same time, without resulting in a net increase though. But the largest changes are less stable relationships and later marriage for both sexes rather than alpha males hoarding all women. Humans being a moderately polygamous species, the tendency that men are more likely sexless can be observed across the world as summarized below and also in terms of [[reproductive success]],<ref>Brown, G.R., Laland, K.N. and Mulder, M.B. 2009. ''Bateman's principles and human sex roles.'' [[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169534709001128 FullText]]</ref> and is likely a result of women's higher [[Bateman's principle|parental investment]]. | ||
===Earlier estimates=== | ===Earlier estimates=== | ||