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Demographics of inceldom: Difference between revisions
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→Rise in sexlessness and singledom
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Further, roughly [[Scientific_Blackpill#30.25_of_millennials_are_often_or_always_lonely_and_22.25_have_no_friends|30% of millennials are often or always lonely and 22% have no friends]] which likely overlaps inceldom because a sex partner would count as companionship or a friend. | Further, roughly [[Scientific_Blackpill#30.25_of_millennials_are_often_or_always_lonely_and_22.25_have_no_friends|30% of millennials are often or always lonely and 22% have no friends]] which likely overlaps inceldom because a sex partner would count as companionship or a friend. | ||
The 95% confidence interval for men who did not have sex in the past year aged 18-30 is 20%-34% (N = 137). Combining data from 2016 and 2018, one finds an estimate of 24% (N = 311, 95% CI: 19%, 29%). A study by Poortman and Liebroer found that ''only roughly 4% of singles'' preferred their singlehood over being in a relationship.<ref>https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssresearch.2010.03.012</ref> | The 95% confidence interval for men who did not have sex in the past year aged 18-30 is 20%-34% (N = 137). Combining data from 2016 and 2018, one finds an estimate of 24% (N = 311, 95% CI: 19%, 29%). Most sexless males are likely incels as evidenced by: | ||
* A study by Poortman and Liebroer found that ''only roughly 4% of singles'' preferred their singlehood over being in a relationship.<ref>https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssresearch.2010.03.012</ref> | |||
* Only 1% of the population self-identify as asexual.<ref>https://health.usnews.com/health-news/health-wellness/articles/2015/05/04/asexuality-the-invisible-orientation</ref> | |||
* Sex is regarded as the most satisfying and joyous experience and ~70% of men report "sex is essential to feeling good about oneself".<ref>https://incels.wiki/w/Scientific_Blackpill#Sex_is_the_most_pleasurable.2C_joyous.2C_and_meaningful_human_experience</ref> | |||
* Such reports are likely subject to [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_desirability_bias social desirability bias], meaning men might not say they need sex to avoid being perceived as shallow and sex-driven. | |||
Assuming strong social desirability bias, one can assume less than 10% of men are [[volcel|volcels]], which means '''roughly 15% to 30% millennial male incels''',<ref>This figure was computed by subtracting a volcel rate among the sexless of ~25% for the lower bound and ~15% for the upper bound and then rounding to the next multiple of 5 to get nice figures. These figures have various limitations though. For one, singles who reported to prefer their singlehood in Poortman & Liebroer could be having casual sex otherwise. | |||
Also, men who see prostitutes have sex, but may still count as [[incel#definition|incels]]. Conversely, men in long-distance relationships, religious men or very career-focused men might voluntarily forgo sex, hence might rather count as [[volcel|volcels]] or temporarycels. | Also, men who see prostitutes have sex, but may still count as [[incel#definition|incels]]. Conversely, men in long-distance relationships, religious men or very career-focused men might voluntarily forgo sex, hence might rather count as [[volcel|volcels]] or temporarycels. | ||
On the other hand, one could question whether systemic circumstances pressure men into these situations, which could then count as involuntary. Today, people might involuntarily marry much later as a consequence of cultural, economic and environmentalist pressures forcing them to do so. Indeed, career-focused singles tend to report they focus on their career because they are single rather than vice-versa (Source: https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783658059231)</ref> | On the other hand, one could question whether systemic circumstances pressure men into these situations, which could then count as involuntary. Today, people might involuntarily marry much later as a consequence of cultural, economic and environmentalist pressures forcing them to do so. Indeed, career-focused singles tend to report they focus on their career because they are single rather than vice-versa (Source: https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783658059231)</ref> possibly a bit higher as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to '''8-17 million male millennial incels''', and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship, pointing to a substantial amount of sexually frustrated males. | ||
=== More sexless men than women === | === More sexless men than women === | ||