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The 95% confidence interval for men who did not have sex in the past year aged 18-30 is 20%-34% (N = 137). Combining data from 2016 and 2018, one finds an estimate of 24% (N = 311, 95% CI: 19%, 29%). A study by Poortman and Liebroer found that ''only roughly 4% of singles'' preferred their singlehood over being in a relationship.<ref>https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssresearch.2010.03.012</ref> Further, only 1% of the population self-identify as asexual.<ref>https://health.usnews.com/health-news/health-wellness/articles/2015/05/04/asexuality-the-invisible-orientation</ref> | The 95% confidence interval for men who did not have sex in the past year aged 18-30 is 20%-34% (N = 137). Combining data from 2016 and 2018, one finds an estimate of 24% (N = 311, 95% CI: 19%, 29%). A study by Poortman and Liebroer found that ''only roughly 4% of singles'' preferred their singlehood over being in a relationship.<ref>https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssresearch.2010.03.012</ref> Further, only 1% of the population self-identify as asexual.<ref>https://health.usnews.com/health-news/health-wellness/articles/2015/05/04/asexuality-the-invisible-orientation</ref> | ||
Provided that [[Scientific_Blackpill#Sex_is_the_most_pleasurable.2C_joyous.2C_and_meaningful_human_experience|sex is regarded as the most satisfying and joyous experience]], it seems implausible that many would voluntarily forgo sex. | Provided that [[Scientific_Blackpill#Sex_is_the_most_pleasurable.2C_joyous.2C_and_meaningful_human_experience|sex is regarded as the most satisfying and joyous experience]], it seems implausible that many would voluntarily forgo sex. | ||
Hence, accounting for [[volcel|volcels]], the percentage of incels among millennials is likely a bit less than the sexless, so likely '''roughly between 15% and 30%''', likely a bit higher as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to '''8-17 million millennial incels''', and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship. | Hence, accounting for [[volcel|volcels]], the percentage of incels among millennials is likely a bit less than the sexless, so likely '''roughly between 15% and 30%''', likely a bit higher as of {{CURRENTYEAR}}. With 57 million millennial males, this amounts to '''8-17 million male millennial incels''', and 2-3 as many in an unstable or no relationship. | ||
This reasoning has, of course, various limitations. For one, singles who reported to prefer their singlehood in Poortman & Liebroer could be having casual sex otherwise. | This reasoning has, of course, various limitations. For one, singles who reported to prefer their singlehood in Poortman & Liebroer could be having casual sex otherwise. |